Wednesday, 30 January 2013

EUR/USD Breaks Consolidation High; Can it Clear 1.35?

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More at http://daily20pips.blogspot.com/2013/01/cheryl-coles-hot-compilation.html
Consolidation: The EUR/USD failed to extend after breaking above a small flag pattern during the 1/28 US session. The consolidation high held, and price came back to crack its consolidation low during the 1/29 European session. During the 1/29 US session it surged from the new low, to a new high, breaking above the consolidation high.
Momentum: Note that the 1H RSI reading held above 40, reflecting maintenance of bullish momentum. With it going above 60, it is a sign of bullish momentum revival.
Target: 1.35 will be a key psychological handle to break for further bullish outlook. If this is the case, taking the width of the range, a conventional breakout target projects to about 1.3530. Note the mini-consolidation in the middle of the range. This is the central pivot area. If there is a throwback, and the market can stay above this area (around 1.3450, then the bullish outlook still looks good. Otherwise, we might have a false breakout to the topside.
If the bullish break does occur, I suspect there are many stops up here since it is just above the 2012-high. If so, and these stops get triggered, we can get quick a pop before a throwback. Let's see.

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